He was the complementary back in the Eagles offense in Week 1, not Scott. Instead, it was Gainwell's turn right away. Yours truly thought he was an interesting end-of-bench add for some undervalued production, assuming it would be Kenneth Gainwell 's turn as the season went on. This same thing happened with the dart throw Boston Scott recommendation. Mostert, who was set for a big day, got hurt early in his battle against the Lions.īut the process! Elijah Mitchell, who's predictably going to be analyzed further down the page, stepped in and ran for over 100 yards and a score. Sermon, as the fantasy football world now knows, was a surprise inactive in Week 1. The first recommendation was to buy Trey Sermon and Raheem Mostert. That's only 2.Last week’s 15 Transactions column was a good lesson on process. In the three games that Brown's finished, he's averaged a target share per game of 24.8%. There's some reason for optimism, at least. And they should be in each of his last three games, he's scored fewer than eight PPR points. He was hurt early in Week 3 and then missed Week 4, and then this past weekend, he posted a measly 38 receiving yards.īrown managers are undoubtedly frustrated. In Week 2, Brown had arguably the worst game of his career, catching just three of his nine targets in a pass-friendly script. In Week 1, the Titans offense was a dumpster fire, but he was able to secure a touchdown on eight targets. He probably won't hit 189 receiving yards in a game again this year, but he's absolutely worth an add this week if you passed on him a week ago. Even if each wide receiver is healthy, rational coaching would keep Toney on the field. Why bring this all up? Because it shows versatility. He totaled 189 yards in total on the day. He saw 10 targets while playing the outside, and he caught 8 of them for 150 yards. That resulted in Toney playing just 29.2% of his snaps from the slot. Shepard and Slayton were both out in Week 5, and Kenny Golladay ended up missing most of the game with a knee issue. That makes sense, since Sterling Shepard, their slot guy, was out. Per Next Gen Stats, he played 60.6% of his snaps from that area of the field in Week 4 en route to a 6-catch, 78-yard performance. Like I mentioned in last week's 15 Transactions column when talking about Toney, he played the majority of his snaps from the slot in Week 4. The following week, with both wide receivers out, Toney played roughly 78% of New York's snaps. In Week 3, that number shot to about 66%. In Weeks 1 and 2, Toney's snap shares didn't even reach 30%. Injuries to Sterling Shepard and Darius Slayton during Week 3's game against the Falcons allowed Kadarius Toney to see more work in the Giants offense. Note: The transactions each week are not in order of importance. Oh, and Kadarius Toney? Yeah, he's balling out. It's also about the market - it's also about what it takes to acquire or sell that player. Actionable advice in fantasy football isn't just about an individual player's outlook. It's an important lesson to remember when you read recommendations from idiot fantasy analysts like myself. Every player becomes valuable at some cost, and because the majority of the fantasy industry wasn't high on Toney, he fell in drafts. My distaste for Toney's profile - the player - couldn't drive me to simply not draft him. (Not that any of you care about my fantasy teams.) Here's the thing, though: Kadarius Toney is on more than one of my dynasty rosters. My post-draft rankings liked seven wide receivers more than him. Toney was a first-round pick in the NFL Draft, but my prospect model liked six wide receivers more than him. His statistical profile was below-average, and since such a large number of fantasy analysts view the game with a data-driven lens, the consensus feel towards Toney was that he.well, people thought he was overrated. But if everyone - the market - views a player the exact same way?įor those of you who are into the dynasty format of fantasy football, you probably remember how Kadarius Toney was viewed before and after the NFL Draft. The player himself - his statistical profile, how his team is using him, his outlook - is obviously important. When it comes to buying and selling players in fantasy football, those are the two areas of concern. You have to worry about the player, but you also have to worry about the market.
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